The game of fall of Nepal began in 2008 when the 240-year Monarchy rule ended and Nepal lost the status of ‘The Last Hindu Kingdom’ to the so-called ‘Secular Democratic Republic’.
Everyone believes that China was behind this movement. China likely sought to end the Monarchy rule and annex Nepal as part of its territory expansion policy.
Since 1998, the Maoist rebel group led by Pushpa Kamal Dahal (Prachand) has been waging a rebellion in Nepal. The aim was to end the Hindu kingdom and establish a constitution-based secular democracy so that countries like Pakistan, China, and the USA can enter the regional politics of Nepal.
A decade-long rebellion ended when the last Monarch, Gyanendra Shah, stepped down from the status of ‘Crown of Nepal’. The Monarcy was believed to be the ‘avatar’ of lord Vishnu. But the diluted polity elected the Communist Party as the future of Nepal.
Since then, Nepal has never settled on peace. In 17 years, Nepal has seen 13 prime ministers, which clearly indicates the continuous political upheaval driven by hidden agendas and selfishness. We will examine whose agenda is driving the instability in Nepal and who is behind it.
CPN UML leader KP Sharma Oli assumed the office as Prime Minister in 2015 and held the position for nearly a year. Before his tenure as PM, he was deputy PM from 20026 to 2007 and external affairs minister in 2013. UML is the Unified Marxists-Leninist Party.
Oli became PM of Nepal thrice –
- from 11 October 2015 to 24 July 2016
- from 15 February 2018 to 13 July 2021
- Finally, in July 2024, he resigned in September 2025 after Gen-Z expelled his government.
Ex-PM Oli attempted to control the Gen-Z and the mob. His government even ordered
Before his tenure as a PM, a Royal family was ruling the nation. His Photos are placed in prominent places in the Pashupati Nath Temple. The Lord Shiva temple, a UNESCO World Heritage site known as ‘Pashupati Nath’, is a world-famous destination, attracting millions of visitors every year.
Until the nation became predominantly Hindu and had monarchical rule, Nepal remained peaceful. We need not be highly educated to understand that wherever Pakistani, Maoists, Communists, or Chinese enter any region, that region becomes unstable.
Even though there is a specific ‘peaceful community’ that rapidly increases its population and then captures the region, forcing others to convert or flee. You can watch YouTube to know more about this ‘Peaceful community’ that starts silently, only to become violent.
There is no difference in the opinion that such rebels are destabilizing the country. But who funds them? What is the motive behind it? Let’s dive into it to see the reality.
2019 was the year that sparked volcanic turbulence in a chain of political, social, and generational upheavals. It was then that Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli unnecessarily deepened ties with China. This movement of Oli turned his era towards downfall, though prima facie it looked like a strategic bold move to align itself with China.
The China Overture (2019)
In 2019, KP Oli hosted high-level meetings with Beijing, presenting Nepal as a willing partner in China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). This move was completely unnecessary.
Because Nepal shares the maximum border with India and the northern border with China, which is also a part of the Himalayan mountain range. The BRI had no meaning since India was not part of it. The BRI would have entered Nepal from China and would have re-entered China because there is no way out. Why would anyone take a longer road only to benefit another country?
The real motive was to capture Nepal, either entirely or in parts. But Oli never understood it because China had probably deepened his pockets.
The optics were grand—smiling leaders, signed agreements, promises of infrastructure, and dreams of a “new Nepal.” But behind the handshakes, many Nepalis saw something more troubling: a subtle but undeniable tilt away from India, the country’s largest neighbour and historical ally.
The question is how suddenly everything changed after the visit of the Chinese representative to Nepal?
After that, the Galwan Valley standoff and clash with Chinese soldiers incident happened.
A Crystal-Clear Picture in the Minds of Nepalis about India
Nepalese understood that everything comes from India, including electricity, crude oil, trade routes by Sea to the skies for travel, railways to road infrastructures, medicines to food, visa-free entry, monetary packages, perks, defense security, and jobs in defense, among many other benefits.
In that year, Oli made vague and rogue comments about the Limpiyadhura–Lipulekh–Kalapani area (popularly known as “Limpu Lake”), claiming the territory as its own. The pomposity played well with nationalists, but the relationship with India soured. There was a need for routine diplomatic dialogues between India and Nepal, but Oli’s comments led to a ground-level standoff.
Nepal also tries to infiltrate, claiming the sovereign territory of India as its territory. But our soldiers stood eye to eye and threw them back.
Words That Divided a Neighbourhood
Following Limpu Lake, a stream of barbed comments from Oli’s administration targeted India, encompassing trade, security, and culture. Oli appeared intent on portraying India as the perpetual villain. To many Nepalis, this looked like political theatre—a way to distract from his own government’s failings.
Many experts worldwide have advised Nepal to align with India rather than China. But Oli never listened.
By 2020 and 2021, Nepal was reeling from COVID-19 mismanagement, a crumbling economy, and joblessness. Oli’s anti-India rhetoric grew harsher just as his domestic failures multiplied.
For every failure or internal problem, he followed one pattern: ‘To Blame India’. And India always remained silent, just like a big brother, because it knew who the driving force was. India only waited for the regime change so that it would improve the ties and eliminate the damage.
Corruption, Nepotism, and the Passport Scandal
While Oli projected himself as a nationalist fighting for Nepal’s sovereignty, corruption scandals only eroded his credibility. Nepalis soon realized the true nature of Oli.
The revelation of nepotism and corruption enraged the civilians, especially Gen Z, who were struggling for income sources and government officials and ministers’ kids were enjoying a luxurious life without hassle. People lost faith in the Oli government.
One of the most damaging episodes was the passport scam, where thousands of fake passports allegedly made their way into the hands of criminals, terrorists and middlemen.
News swirled that some of these passports ended up with Pakistani operatives, who then used them to infiltrate India. For a country that relies heavily on remittances from Nepali workers in India, such stories created unease and distrust, not only within India but in Nepali business owners as well.
This scandal is tied directly to another growing concern: Nepal becoming an easy transit point for suspicious foreign elements, money laundering, and easy terror financing. Reports suggested that Pakistani terrorists used Nepal’s porous border to slip into India, raising alarms across the region. This infiltration is still the case, because on record, Nepal itself warned India in 2025, after ‘Operation Sindoor’ paused, that some terrorists may enter India via the Nepal border.
The Growing Alienation of Gen Z
While Oli played geopolitical chess, ignoring the country and his responsibilities, an entire generation of young Nepalis felt left behind. Gen Z—students, first-time job seekers, tech-savvy entrepreneurs—were frustrated with unemployment, lack of opportunities, and a political elite obsessed with old rivalries.
Nepal’s political unrest erupted in September 2025 when Gen Z-led protests over a controversial ban on 26 social media platforms spiralled into a full-blown revolution.
The government took a panicked move to ban the media as soon as the videos, photos, and articles went viral on how the nepo-kids (nepotism) are enjoying the luxurious lifestyle in foreign countries, lavish hotel stays and acquiring such luxury hotels and properties. The question was, how such politicians and their families are enjoying an abundance of money, when the nation is struggling for income and stability.
Instead of addressing these problems, the government’s response was draconian: suspending 26 social media apps, citing national security. It was a rather surety issue for the nepo-kids and ministerial families. For Nepal’s youth, this was the last straw.
The protests were not just about digital rights—they reflected deep-rooted frustrations over corruption, unemployment, and political dysfunction.
Social media was not just entertainment; it was their public square, their job marketplace, their tool for activism. Oli’s ban was a direct attack on freedom of speech, freedom to earn, and freedom to stay connected and informed, and the only platform where young voices mattered.
The Streets Erupt
By mid-2024, protests ignited across Kathmandu, Pokhara, and smaller towns. Gen Z established this leaderless movement through hashtags, videos, articles and encrypted chats.
`The movement was on the social platform first, then Oli banned Social media, and then it quickly took physical form. Crowds gathered outside the Parliament, chanting slogans not only against Oli but against the entire political class.
The situation escalated when demonstrators stormed the gates of Parliament, clashing with police and demanding accountability. For the first time since the monarchy’s fall, the Nepali youth had taken their anger directly to the heart of power.
Then the KP Oli government took the most ridiculous step and ordered the police to crush the protest. Police used water guns, threatened civilians, brutally used ‘third degree’ on innocent civilians, finally fired bullets, killing over 50 people, and that number could be more.
This incident led to a volcanic eruption of the ordinary people’s power. Then people started retaliating and entered Parliament, the Supreme Court, luxury hotels and burned them all. Even people entered the private houses of the ministers. People chased off and kicked the politician to the curb.
Resulting in PM’s resignation, flight, and formation of an interim government by ex-Chief Justice Sushila Karki.
Ex-PM Nepal, who was overthrown by the youth, as usual, blamed India for all the unrest in Nepal, deliberately hiding his masters who created this situation.
Oli, once hailed as a nationalist strongman, now looked like a relic of an old guard unable to grasp the aspirations of his own people.
Finally, the government lifted the ban on social media.
Shadows in the Mountains
As protests intensified, whispers began circulating about “suspicious activities” in Nepal’s remote mountain ranges. Locals reported unusual construction near sensitive passes, movements of unidentified men, and even mysterious signals picked up by trekkers. Analysts speculated that Nepal was quietly becoming a staging ground for external players—some pointed to Chinese intelligence networks, others to Pakistani handlers using Nepal as a backdoor into India.
The murkiness only deepened when foreign reports suggested that the CIA might have a hidden hand in Nepal’s unrest. According to these claims, the U.S. saw Oli’s pro-China tilt as a threat and discreetly encouraged youth movements to destabilize his rule.
Some international spies mention in their podcast, interviews and articles that this was already planned long ago by the CIA. They also mention proofs, but claim they cannot open them.
Whether true or not, the rumours gained traction online, adding fuel to conspiracy theories about a game played by great-power games on Nepali soil.
The Nepalese government struggles to distinguish between its friends and threats. Perhaps they recognize it, but money and power are more important to them than the country.
The Larger Target: India
One truth shines through all of this: the ultimate aim of this geopolitical contest was not Nepal itself but India. Sri Lanka suffered internal unrest long back, Bangladesh recently and now Nepal. The root cause of this unrest is either China or the USA. Both countries’ aim is India, as it is a rising power in South Asia.
- Politically, weakening Oli—or pushing Nepal into chaos—would strain India’s neighbourhood diplomacy.
- Economically, disruptions in Nepal risked instability in border trade and remittance flows, and Nepal’s territory is vulnerable to China.
- Internally, the infiltration of terrorists through Nepal threatened India’s security, already burdened by tensions on multiple fronts.
For India, the unrest in Nepal was not a distant neighbour’s problem; it was an immediate concern that could ripple into its own politics and stability.
Same communist group, separatists, naxalites and their supporters, corrupt people, fans of George Soros (who had to close his Hindenburg abruptly), Chinese followers, ‘peaceful community’ and anti-India people do exist in India.
The government must take precautionary measures before such a mishap happens.
The Fall of KP Oli
In September 2025, Oli’s government collapsed. The Parliament itself felt tremors in its confidence, and mass corruption cases piled up. Ministers and police flee, and both India and China begin to recalibrate their strategies toward Nepal.
Gen Z’s revolt was no longer just a protest—it had become a generational demand for a new kind of politics, free from the corruption and geopolitics of the past.
His downfall was not the product of a single scandal, but of a cumulative failure: failing to understand the youth, mishandling neighbours, aligning incorrectly, ignoring its own interest, inviting corruption, not creating enough job opportunities, and ignoring the digital realities of a connected generation.
Conclusion: What Lies Ahead?
Nepal today stands at a crossroads. The Gen Z revolt has cracked the foundation of its old political order, but the future is still uncertain.
Will Nepal emerge with a new wave of leaders who address jobs, education, and transparency? Or will it remain a chessboard for bigger powers—China, the U.S., or will it become a doll of terrorists like Pakistan, each exploiting its vulnerabilities?
For India, the lesson is equally unambiguous. Stability in Nepal is no longer just about diplomacy; it is about anticipating what youth want, how to perform cyber-activism, and how foreign interference can shape the neighbourhood.
The fall of KP Oli is not just the story of one leader’s failure—it is the story of how global rivalries caught a small but brilliant nation in the whirlpool of them, and of a young generation refusing to be silent any longer.
Nice blog. Some people want same to happens in India