September 16, 2025

The game of fall of Nepal began in 2008 when the 240-year Monarchy rule ended and Nepal lost the status of ‘The Last Hindu Kingdom’ to the so-called ‘Secular Democratic Republic’. Everyone believes that China was behind this movement. China likely sought to end the Monarchy rule and annex Nepal as part of its territory expansion policy. Since 1998, the Maoist rebel group led by Pushpa Kamal Dahal (Prachand) has been waging a rebellion in Nepal. The aim was to end the Hindu kingdom and establish a constitution-based secular democracy so that countries like Pakistan, China, and the USA can enter the regional politics of Nepal. A decade-long rebellion ended when the last Monarch, Gyanendra Shah, stepped down from the status of ‘Crown of Nepal’. The Monarcy was believed to be the ‘avatar’ of lord Vishnu. But the diluted polity elected the Communist Party as the future of Nepal. Since then, Nepal has never settled on peace. In 17 years, Nepal has seen 13 prime ministers, which clearly indicates the continuous political upheaval driven by hidden agendas and selfishness. We will examine whose agenda is driving the instability in Nepal and who is behind it. CPN UML leader KP Sharma Oli assumed the office as Prime Minister in 2015 and held the position for nearly a year. Before his tenure as PM, he was deputy PM from 20026 to 2007 and external affairs minister in 2013. UML is the Unified Marxists-Leninist Party.   Oli became PM of Nepal thrice – Ex-PM Oli attempted to control the Gen-Z and the mob. His government even ordered Before his tenure as a PM, a Royal family was ruling the nation. His Photos are placed in prominent places in the Pashupati Nath Temple. The Lord Shiva temple, a UNESCO World Heritage site known as ‘Pashupati Nath’, is a world-famous destination, attracting millions of visitors every year. Until the nation became predominantly Hindu and had monarchical rule, Nepal remained peaceful. We need not be highly educated to understand that wherever Pakistani, Maoists, Communists, or Chinese enter any region, that region becomes unstable. Even though there is a specific ‘peaceful community’ that rapidly increases its population and then captures the region, forcing others to convert or flee. You can watch YouTube to know more about this ‘Peaceful community’ that starts silently, only to become violent. There is no difference in the opinion that such rebels are destabilizing the country. But who funds them? What is the motive behind it? Let’s dive into it to see the reality. 2019 was the year that sparked volcanic turbulence in a chain of political, social, and generational upheavals. It was then that Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli unnecessarily deepened ties with China. This movement of Oli turned his era towards downfall, though prima facie it looked like a strategic bold move to align itself with China. The China Overture (2019) In 2019, KP Oli hosted high-level meetings with Beijing, presenting Nepal as a willing partner in China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). This move was completely unnecessary. Because Nepal shares the maximum border with India and the northern border with China, which is also a part of the Himalayan mountain range. The BRI had no meaning since India was not part of it. The BRI would have entered Nepal from China and would have re-entered China because there is no way out. Why would anyone take a longer road only to benefit another country? The real motive was to capture Nepal, either entirely or in parts. But Oli never understood it because China had probably deepened his pockets. The optics were grand—smiling leaders, signed agreements, promises of infrastructure, and dreams of a “new Nepal.” But behind the handshakes, many Nepalis saw something more troubling: a subtle but undeniable tilt away from India, the country’s largest neighbour and historical ally. The question is how suddenly everything changed after the visit of the Chinese representative to Nepal? After that, the Galwan Valley standoff and clash with Chinese soldiers incident happened. A Crystal-Clear Picture in the Minds of Nepalis about India Nepalese understood that everything comes from India, including electricity, crude oil, trade routes by Sea to the skies for travel, railways to road infrastructures, medicines to food, visa-free entry, monetary packages, perks, defense security, and jobs in defense, among many other benefits. In that year, Oli made vague and rogue comments about the Limpiyadhura–Lipulekh–Kalapani area (popularly known as “Limpu Lake”), claiming the territory as its own. The pomposity played well with nationalists, but the relationship with India soured. There was a need for routine diplomatic dialogues between India and Nepal, but Oli’s comments led to a ground-level standoff. Nepal also tries to infiltrate, claiming the sovereign territory of India as its territory. But our soldiers stood eye to eye and threw them back. Words That Divided a Neighbourhood Following Limpu Lake, a stream of barbed comments from Oli’s administration targeted India, encompassing trade, security, and culture. Oli appeared intent on portraying India as the perpetual villain. To many Nepalis, this looked like political theatre—a way to distract from his own government’s failings. Many experts worldwide have advised Nepal to align with India rather than China. But Oli never listened. By 2020 and 2021, Nepal was reeling from COVID-19 mismanagement, a crumbling economy, and joblessness. Oli’s anti-India rhetoric grew harsher just as his domestic failures multiplied. For every failure or internal problem, he followed one pattern: ‘To Blame India’. And India always remained silent, just like a big brother, because it knew who the driving force was. India only waited for the regime change so that it would improve the ties and eliminate the damage. Corruption, Nepotism, and the Passport Scandal While Oli projected himself as a nationalist fighting for Nepal’s sovereignty, corruption scandals only eroded his credibility. Nepalis soon realized the true nature of Oli. The revelation of nepotism and corruption enraged the civilians, especially Gen Z, who were struggling for income sources and government officials and ministers’ kids were enjoying